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The diffusion of democracy, 1946-1994

O'Loughlin, J and Ward, MD and Lofdahl, CL and Cohen, JS and Brown, DS and Reilly, D and Gleditsch, KS and Shin, M (1998) 'The diffusion of democracy, 1946-1994.' Annals of the Association of American Geographers, 88 (4). 545 - 574. ISSN 0004-5608

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We examine the relationship between the temporal and spatial aspects of democratic diffusion in the world system since 1946. We find strong and consistent evidence of temporal clustering of democratic and autocratic trends, as well as strong spatial association (or autocorrelation) of democratization. The analysis uses an exploratory data appraoch in a longitudinal framework to understand global and regional trends in changes in authority structures. Our work reveals discrete changes in regimes that run counter to the dominant aggregate trends of democratic waves or sequences, demonstrating how the ebb and flow of democracy varies among the world's regions. We conclude that further analysis of the process of regime change from autocracy to democracy, as well as reversals, should start from a 'domain-specific' position that dis-aggregates the globe into its regional mosaics.

Item Type: Article
Subjects: J Political Science > JA Political science (General)
Divisions: Faculty of Social Sciences > Government, Department of
Depositing User: Peter Josse
Date Deposited: 13 Jan 2015 13:07
Last Modified: 23 Jan 2019 00:15

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