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Demand, supply, and restraint: Determinants of domestic water conflict and cooperation

Böhmelt, T and Bernauer, T and Buhaug, H and Gleditsch, NP and Tribaldos, T and Wischnath, G (2014) 'Demand, supply, and restraint: Determinants of domestic water conflict and cooperation.' Global Environmental Change, 29. 337 - 348. ISSN 0959-3780

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Abstract

© 2013 Elsevier Ltd. This article focuses on one of the most likely empirical manifestations of the "environment-conflict" claim by examining how demand for and supply of water may lead to domestic water conflict. It also studies what factors may reduce the risk of conflict and, hence, induce cooperation. To this end, the article advances several theory-based arguments about the determinants of water conflict and cooperation, and then analyzes time-series cross-section data for 35 Mediterranean, Middle Eastern, and Sahel countries between 1997 and 2009. The empirical results show that demand-side drivers, such as population pressure, agricultural productivity, and economic development are likely to have a stronger impact on water conflict risk than supply-side factors, represented by climate variability. The analysis also reveals that violent water conflicts are extremely rare, and that factors conducive to restraint, such as stable political conditions, may stimulate cooperation. Overall, these results suggest that the joint analysis of demand, supply, and restraint improves our ability to account for domestic water-related conflict and cooperation.

Item Type: Article
Subjects: J Political Science > JA Political science (General)
Divisions: Faculty of Social Sciences > Government, Department of
Depositing User: Jim Jamieson
Date Deposited: 16 Oct 2014 11:03
Last Modified: 30 Jan 2019 20:15
URI: http://repository.essex.ac.uk/id/eprint/10881

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