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Jenseits von Schwerkraft und Höllenfeuer. Nicht-lineare Kontexteffekte auf den Zusammenhang von religiöser Gruppenzugehörigkeit und individuellem Wahlverhalten bei fünf Bundestagswahlen [Beyond Gravity and Hellfire. Non-linear Contextual Effects on the Link between Religion and Voting Behaviour in Five German Federal Elections]

Ackermann, Kathrin and Traunmüller, Richard (2014) 'Jenseits von Schwerkraft und Höllenfeuer. Nicht-lineare Kontexteffekte auf den Zusammenhang von religiöser Gruppenzugehörigkeit und individuellem Wahlverhalten bei fünf Bundestagswahlen [Beyond Gravity and Hellfire. Non-linear Contextual Effects on the Link between Religion and Voting Behaviour in Five German Federal Elections].' Politische Vierteljahresschrift, 55 (1). pp. 33-66. ISSN 0032-3470

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Abstract

This article investigates the moderating effect of social context on the relationship between religion and vote choice. Whereas theories of electoral research and the sociology of religion assume a linear contextual effect, we develop a new theoretical argument that predicts a non-linear effect. The results of logistic multilevel analyses confirm this theory for the Catholic milieu: The effect of catholic denomination on voting for the Christian Democrats (CDU/CSU) first increases with the share of Catholics in the context and decreases when they are in the clear majority. This finding – which contradicts former studies – holds for all federal elections under consideration (1994-2009), withstands several robustness tests and provides important evidence for the perpetuation of the traditional Catholic voting norm through group processes.

Item Type: Article
Subjects: J Political Science > JA Political science (General)
Divisions: Faculty of Social Sciences > Government, Department of
Depositing User: Users 161 not found.
Date Deposited: 15 Dec 2014 11:07
Last Modified: 01 Jan 2017 02:00
URI: http://repository.essex.ac.uk/id/eprint/12123

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