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“Oil above Water”: Economic Interdependence and Third-party Intervention

Bove, V and Gleditsch, KS and Sekeris, PG (2016) '“Oil above Water”: Economic Interdependence and Third-party Intervention.' Journal of Conflict Resolution, 60 (7). 1251 - 1277. ISSN 0022-0027

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© 2015, © The Author(s) 2015. We explore economic incentives for third parties to intervene in ongoing internal wars. We develop a three-party model of the decision to intervene in conflict that highlights the role of the economic benefits accruing from the intervention and the potential costs. We present novel empirical results on the role of oil in motivating third-party military intervention. We find that the likelihood of a third-party intervention increases when (a) the country at war has large reserves of oil, (b) the relative competition in the sector is limited, and (c) the potential intervener has a higher demand for oil.

Item Type: Article
Subjects: J Political Science > JA Political science (General)
Divisions: Faculty of Social Sciences > Government, Department of
Depositing User: Jim Jamieson
Date Deposited: 20 Apr 2015 08:57
Last Modified: 23 Jan 2019 00:16

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