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Race, Trust, and Return-Migration: The Political Drivers of Post-Disaster Resettlement

Reinhardt, GY (2015) 'Race, Trust, and Return-Migration: The Political Drivers of Post-Disaster Resettlement.' Political Research Quarterly, 68 (2). 350 - 362. ISSN 1938-274X

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Abstract

After several disasters in the US, the return migration rate of Blacks to post-disaster areas has been lower than that of other races. Is there is a political reason for this pattern? I investigate political trust as the mechanism through which race affects people?s decision of where to live after forced evacuation. After accounting for economic, demographic, and sociological influences on return-migration, I find that political trust has a significant effect, acting as a mediator between race and return migration. I am thus able to show that race does not have a direct effect on return migration in the US, but that race works through the causal mechanism of political trust to determine return-migration decisions. Since Blacks are more likely to have low levels of political trust, and those with lower political trust are less likely to return, Blacks are less likely to return.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: disasters; political trust; return migration; race; mediation analysis; causal mechanism; U.S. politics
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HT Communities. Classes. Races
J Political Science > JA Political science (General)
J Political Science > JK Political institutions (United States)
J Political Science > JS Local government Municipal government
J Political Science > JV Colonies and colonization. Emigration and immigration. International migration
Divisions: Faculty of Social Sciences > Government, Department of
Depositing User: Gina Reinhardt
Date Deposited: 05 Jan 2016 16:09
Last Modified: 17 Aug 2017 17:29
URI: http://repository.essex.ac.uk/id/eprint/15743

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