Getmansky, A (2013) 'You Can?t Win If You Don?t Fight: The Role of Regime Type in Counterinsurgency Outbreaks and Outcomes.' Journal of Conflict Resolution, 57 (4). pp. 709-734. ISSN 0022-0027
|
Text
JCR_final_submission.pdf - Accepted Version Download (204kB) | Preview |
Abstract
What effect, if any, does democracy have on outcomes of counterinsurgency wars? Previous studies have provided inconclusive answers mainly because of the challenges involved in testing the question empirically: First, insurgencies are not accidental and the anticipated outcomes also affect whether they break out in the first place. Second, regimes are non-random and their determinants can also affect insurgency incidence and its outcomes. Moreover, different aspects of democracy can have opposite effects on the government's chances of winning. I address these challenges by conducting a critical test to distinguish between different causal mechanisms. I find that domestic institutions that are associated with public goods provision make insurgency onsets less likely. I also show that once we control for this selection effect, domestic political institutions do not influence insurgency outcomes.
Item Type: | Article |
---|---|
Uncontrolled Keywords: | counterinsurgency; democracy; domestic politics; victory |
Subjects: | J Political Science > JA Political science (General) J Political Science > JZ International relations |
Divisions: | Faculty of Social Sciences Faculty of Social Sciences > Government, Department of |
SWORD Depositor: | Elements |
Depositing User: | Elements |
Date Deposited: | 15 Apr 2016 14:26 |
Last Modified: | 06 Jan 2022 13:18 |
URI: | http://repository.essex.ac.uk/id/eprint/16424 |
Actions (login required)
![]() |
View Item |