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A new index of financial conditions

Koop, G and Korobilis, D (2014) 'A new index of financial conditions.' European Economic Review, 71. 101 - 116. ISSN 0014-2921

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Abstract

We use factor augmented vector autoregressive models with time-varying coefficients and stochastic volatility to construct a financial conditions index that can accurately track expectations about growth in key US macroeconomic variables. Time-variation in the models' parameters allows for the weights attached to each financial variable in the index to evolve over time. Furthermore, we develop methods for dynamic model averaging or selection which allow the financial variables entering into the financial conditions index to change over time. We discuss why such extensions of the existing literature are important and show them to be so in an empirical application involving a wide range of financial variables. © 2014 Elsevier B.V.

Item Type: Article
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
Divisions: Faculty of Social Sciences > Essex Business School > Essex Finance Centre
Depositing User: Jim Jamieson
Date Deposited: 23 Nov 2016 12:00
Last Modified: 07 Aug 2019 21:15
URI: http://repository.essex.ac.uk/id/eprint/17948

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