Research Repository

Tax-benefit microsimulation and income redistribution in Ecuador

Jara, H Xavier and Varelas, Marcelo (2019) 'Tax-benefit microsimulation and income redistribution in Ecuador.' International Journal of Microsimulation, 12 (1). 52 - 82. ISSN 1747-5864

Jara Varela_IJM_12_1_2.pdf - Published Version
Available under License Creative Commons Attribution.

Download (485kB) | Preview


The aim of this paper is to explore the redistributive effects of taxes and benefits in Ecuador using two different approaches: direct use of reported taxes and benefits in survey data, and use of simulated taxes and benefits. We make use of representative household microdata from ENIGHUR 2011-2012, which contains detailed information on labour and non-labour income, taxes and social insurance contributions, public pensions, social benefits and expenditure, as well as personal and household characteristics. First, ECUAMOD, the tax-benefit microsimulation model for Ecuador is used to simulate cash benefit entitlements, personal income tax and social insurance contribution liabilities, as well as indirect taxes. Then, the redistributive effect of simulated tax-benefit policies is compared to that obtained from taxes, social insurance contributions and benefits taken directly from the data. Our results show that simulated taxes and social insurance contributions capture better the number of taxpayers and aggregate revenue amounts from official statistics, compared to information taken directly from the data. Moreover, using reported data on taxes and social insurance contributions underestimates their redistributive effect, compared to simulated policies. Underreporting of income components in survey data and the difficulty of simulating complex eligibility rules for benefits in microsimulation models are some of the factors driving the differences between the two approaches. Our paper concludes with a discussion of the advantages offered by microsimulation for policy analysis.

Item Type: Article
Divisions: Faculty of Social Sciences > Institute for Social and Economic Research
Depositing User: Elements
Date Deposited: 29 Nov 2019 11:16
Last Modified: 29 Nov 2019 12:15

Actions (login required)

View Item View Item