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The dynamic political economy of support for Barack Obama during the 2008 presidential election campaign

Scotto, Thomas J and Clarke, Harold D and Kornberg, Allan and Reifler, Jason and Sanders, David and Stewart, Marianne C and Whiteley, Paul (2010) 'The dynamic political economy of support for Barack Obama during the 2008 presidential election campaign.' Electoral Studies, 29 (4). pp. 545-556. ISSN 0261-3794

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Abstract

In recent years, students of voting behavior have become increasingly interested in valence politics models of electoral choice. These models share the core assumption that key issues in electoral politicds typically are ones upon which there is a widespread public consensus on the goals of public policy. The present paper uses latent curve modeling procedures and data from a six-wave national panel survey of the American electorate to investigate the dynamic effects of voters' concerns with the worsening economy-a valence issue par excellence-in the skein of causal forces at work in the 2008 presidential election campaign. As the campaign developed, the economy became the dominant issue. Although the massively negative public reaction to increasingly perilous economic conditions was not the only factor at work in 2008, dynamic multivariate analyses show that mounting worries about the economy played an important role in fueling Barack Obama's successful run for the presidency. © 2010 Elsevier Ltd.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: Latent growth curves; Valence politics; Economic crisis; Partisanship; Race
Subjects: J Political Science > JA Political science (General)
J Political Science > JK Political institutions (United States)
Divisions: Faculty of Social Sciences
Faculty of Social Sciences > Government, Department of
SWORD Depositor: Elements
Depositing User: Elements
Date Deposited: 06 Aug 2012 21:17
Last Modified: 15 Jan 2022 00:51
URI: http://repository.essex.ac.uk/id/eprint/3524

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