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Estimation of Default Probabilities Using Incomplete Contracts Data

Murteira, J M R and Santos Silva, Joao M C (2000) Estimation of Default Probabilities Using Incomplete Contracts Data. Working Paper. Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers.

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Abstract

This paper develops a count data model for credit scoring which allows the estimation of default probabilities using incomplete contracts data. The model is based on the beta-binomial distribution, which is found to be particularly adequate to describe this sort of data. A well known data set on personal loans granted by a Spanish bank is used to illustrate the application of the proposed model.

Item Type: Monograph (Working Paper)
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
Divisions: Faculty of Social Sciences > Economics, Department of
Depositing User: Jim Jamieson
Date Deposited: 08 Aug 2012 12:30
Last Modified: 08 Aug 2012 12:30
URI: http://repository.essex.ac.uk/id/eprint/3603

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