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Simulating the Effects of the Alternative Vote in the 2010 UK General Election

Sanders, D and Clarke, HD and Stewart, MC and Whiteley, P (2011) 'Simulating the Effects of the Alternative Vote in the 2010 UK General Election.' Parliamentary Affairs, 64 (1). pp. 5-23. ISSN 0031-2290

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The Conservative/Liberal Democrat Coalition government has announced its intention to hold a referendum on the possible introduction of the Alternative Vote (AV) for future elections to the House of Commons. This paper uses survey data from the 2010 British Election Study to simulate what the effects on the seat distribution in the House of Commons would have been if AV had operated in May 2010. The results suggest an outcome for the three main parties of Conservatives 284, Labour 248 and Liberal Democrats 89. This outcome would have radically changed the arithmetic of post-election coalition building, with the Liberal Democrats being able to form a majority coalition with either Labour or the Conservatives. © 2010 The Author.

Item Type: Article
Subjects: J Political Science > JA Political science (General)
J Political Science > JN Political institutions (Europe) > JN101 Great Britain
Divisions: Faculty of Social Sciences
Faculty of Social Sciences > Government, Department of
SWORD Depositor: Elements
Depositing User: Elements
Date Deposited: 25 Mar 2013 10:55
Last Modified: 15 Jan 2022 00:52

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