Böhmelt, Tobias (2013) 'Failing to succeed? The cumulative impact of international mediation revisited.' Conflict Management and Peace Science, 30 (3). pp. 199-219. ISSN 0738-8942
Full text not available from this repository.Abstract
<jats:p> Previous studies argue that the cumulation of mediations generally decreases uncertainty and ultimately helps to solve a conflict peacefully. Yet the empirical evidence for this is inconclusive, suggesting that existent theoretical accounts might be incomplete. For addressing this shortcoming, the paper develops an argument for a curvilinear relationship between the cumulation of mediations and mediation effectiveness. Based upon this rationale, it is less likely that initial mediation attempts succeed, but—after a turning point has been reached—subsequent mediations are more likely to induce an effective resolution of a dispute. The author also argues that this effect should be stronger if the same actors mediate over the course of a conflict. The empirical implications of this theoretical revision are tested in a quantitative framework employing data for 1816–2001. The results provide strong support for the theory. </jats:p>
Item Type: | Article |
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Uncontrolled Keywords: | Cumulative impact; international mediation; mediation effectiveness |
Subjects: | J Political Science > JA Political science (General) |
Divisions: | Faculty of Social Sciences > Government, Department of |
SWORD Depositor: | Elements |
Depositing User: | Elements |
Date Deposited: | 15 Jan 2014 11:33 |
Last Modified: | 15 Jan 2022 00:48 |
URI: | http://repository.essex.ac.uk/id/eprint/8626 |
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