Böhmelt, Tobias (2013) 'Failing to succeed? The cumulative impact of international mediation revisited.' Conflict Management and Peace Science, 30 (3). pp. 199-219. ISSN 0738-8942

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Abstract

<jats:p> Previous studies argue that the cumulation of mediations generally decreases uncertainty and ultimately helps to solve a conflict peacefully. Yet the empirical evidence for this is inconclusive, suggesting that existent theoretical accounts might be incomplete. For addressing this shortcoming, the paper develops an argument for a curvilinear relationship between the cumulation of mediations and mediation effectiveness. Based upon this rationale, it is less likely that initial mediation attempts succeed, but—after a turning point has been reached—subsequent mediations are more likely to induce an effective resolution of a dispute. The author also argues that this effect should be stronger if the same actors mediate over the course of a conflict. The empirical implications of this theoretical revision are tested in a quantitative framework employing data for 1816–2001. The results provide strong support for the theory. </jats:p>

Item Type:	Article
Uncontrolled Keywords:	Cumulative impact; international mediation; mediation effectiveness
Subjects:	J Political Science > JA Political science (General)
Divisions:	Faculty of Social Sciences > Government, Department of
SWORD Depositor:	Elements
Depositing User:	Elements
Date Deposited:	15 Jan 2014 11:33
Last Modified:	15 Jan 2022 00:48
URI:	http://repository.essex.ac.uk/id/eprint/8626

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