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The Incapacitation Effect of Incarceration: Evidence from Several Italian Collective Pardons

Barbarino, Alessandro and Mastrobuoni, Giovanni (2013) The Incapacitation Effect of Incarceration: Evidence from Several Italian Collective Pardons. UNSPECIFIED. UNSPECIFIED.

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Abstract

We estimate the “incapacitation effect” on crime using variation in Italian prison population driven by eight collective pardons passed between 1962 and 1990. The prison releases are sudden - within one day —, very large—up to 35 percent of the entire prison population — and happen nationwide. Exploiting this quasi-natural experiment we break the simultaneity of crime and prisoners and, in addition, use the national character of the pardons to separately identify incapacitation from changes in deterrence. The elasticity of total crime with respect to incapacitation is between -17 and -30 percent. A cost-benefit analysis suggests that Italy’s prison population is below its optimal level.

Item Type: Monograph (UNSPECIFIED)
Uncontrolled Keywords: HB;; Crime; Pardon; Amnesty; Deterrence; Incapacitation
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
Divisions: Faculty of Social Sciences
Faculty of Social Sciences > Economics, Department of
SWORD Depositor: Elements
Depositing User: Elements
Date Deposited: 27 Aug 2014 16:24
Last Modified: 14 Jan 2022 22:01
URI: http://repository.essex.ac.uk/id/eprint/8994

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