Getmansky, A (2013) You Can?t Win If You Don?t Fight: The Role of Regime Type in Counterinsurgency Outbreaks and Outcomes. Journal of Conflict Resolution, 57 (4). pp. 709-734. DOI https://doi.org/10.1177/0022002712449326
Getmansky, A (2013) You Can?t Win If You Don?t Fight: The Role of Regime Type in Counterinsurgency Outbreaks and Outcomes. Journal of Conflict Resolution, 57 (4). pp. 709-734. DOI https://doi.org/10.1177/0022002712449326
Getmansky, A (2013) You Can?t Win If You Don?t Fight: The Role of Regime Type in Counterinsurgency Outbreaks and Outcomes. Journal of Conflict Resolution, 57 (4). pp. 709-734. DOI https://doi.org/10.1177/0022002712449326
Abstract
What effect, if any, does democracy have on outcomes of counterinsurgency wars? Previous studies have provided inconclusive answers mainly because of the challenges involved in testing the question empirically: First, insurgencies are not accidental and the anticipated outcomes also affect whether they break out in the first place. Second, regimes are non-random and their determinants can also affect insurgency incidence and its outcomes. Moreover, different aspects of democracy can have opposite effects on the government's chances of winning. I address these challenges by conducting a critical test to distinguish between different causal mechanisms. I find that domestic institutions that are associated with public goods provision make insurgency onsets less likely. I also show that once we control for this selection effect, domestic political institutions do not influence insurgency outcomes.
Item Type: | Article |
---|---|
Uncontrolled Keywords: | counterinsurgency; democracy; domestic politics; victory |
Subjects: | J Political Science > JA Political science (General) J Political Science > JZ International relations |
Divisions: | Faculty of Social Sciences Faculty of Social Sciences > Government, Department of |
SWORD Depositor: | Unnamed user with email elements@essex.ac.uk |
Depositing User: | Unnamed user with email elements@essex.ac.uk |
Date Deposited: | 15 Apr 2016 14:26 |
Last Modified: | 16 May 2024 18:07 |
URI: | http://repository.essex.ac.uk/id/eprint/16424 |
Available files
Filename: JCR_final_submission.pdf