Davenport, Christian and RezaeeDaryakenari, Babak and Wood, Reed M (2022) Tenure through Tyranny? Repression, Dissent, and Leader Removal in Africa and Latin America, 1990–2006. Journal of Global Security Studies, 7 (1). DOI https://doi.org/10.1093/jogss/ogab023
Davenport, Christian and RezaeeDaryakenari, Babak and Wood, Reed M (2022) Tenure through Tyranny? Repression, Dissent, and Leader Removal in Africa and Latin America, 1990–2006. Journal of Global Security Studies, 7 (1). DOI https://doi.org/10.1093/jogss/ogab023
Davenport, Christian and RezaeeDaryakenari, Babak and Wood, Reed M (2022) Tenure through Tyranny? Repression, Dissent, and Leader Removal in Africa and Latin America, 1990–2006. Journal of Global Security Studies, 7 (1). DOI https://doi.org/10.1093/jogss/ogab023
Abstract
With few exceptions, prior research on leadership survival focuses largely on state institutional characteristics or economic context. We shift this orientation by explicitly considering the important role contentious interactions between the incumbent regime and dissident actors play in determining the duration of leader tenure as well as the manner in which a leader is removed. Specifically, we focus on the severity of the incumbent leader's response to dissident challenges. We contend that the severity of this response represents a critical signal which informs the decisions of specific audiences that ultimately determine the incumbent's survival. To evaluate our argument, we employ detailed information on dissent–repression dynamics and leader survival for a leader-month sample of 69 African and Latin American states between 1990 and 2006. Our results suggest that incumbents are vulnerable to coup d’ état when government repression is perceived as weaker than would normally be expected for a given challenge. By contrast, removal via revolution becomes increasingly likely when repression dramatically exceeds the levels that would normally be warranted given the extant challenge.
Item Type: | Article |
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Uncontrolled Keywords: | repression; dissent; leader removal |
Divisions: | Faculty of Social Sciences Faculty of Social Sciences > Government, Department of |
SWORD Depositor: | Unnamed user with email elements@essex.ac.uk |
Depositing User: | Unnamed user with email elements@essex.ac.uk |
Date Deposited: | 02 Dec 2021 13:23 |
Last Modified: | 30 Oct 2024 17:05 |
URI: | http://repository.essex.ac.uk/id/eprint/31746 |
Available files
Filename: ogab023.pdf
Licence: Creative Commons: Attribution 3.0