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People prefer to predict middle, most likely quantitative outcomes (not extreme ones), but they still over-estimate their likelihood.

Juanchich, Marie and Sirota, Miroslav and Halvor Teigen, Karl (2023) People prefer to predict middle, most likely quantitative outcomes (not extreme ones), but they still over-estimate their likelihood. Quarterly Journal of Experimental Psychology, 76 (11). pp. 2629-2649. DOI https://doi.org/10.1177/17470218231153394



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