Wilkes, Martin and Carrivick, Jonathan and Castella, E and Ilg, C and Cauvy-Fraunie, S and Fell, S and Fureder, L and Huss, M and James, W and Lencioni, V and Robinson, C and Brown, Lee (2023) Glacier retreat reorganises river habitats leaving refugia for Alpine invertebrate biodiversity poorly protected. Nature Ecology and Evolution, 7 (6). pp. 841-851. DOI https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-023-02061-5
Wilkes, Martin and Carrivick, Jonathan and Castella, E and Ilg, C and Cauvy-Fraunie, S and Fell, S and Fureder, L and Huss, M and James, W and Lencioni, V and Robinson, C and Brown, Lee (2023) Glacier retreat reorganises river habitats leaving refugia for Alpine invertebrate biodiversity poorly protected. Nature Ecology and Evolution, 7 (6). pp. 841-851. DOI https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-023-02061-5
Wilkes, Martin and Carrivick, Jonathan and Castella, E and Ilg, C and Cauvy-Fraunie, S and Fell, S and Fureder, L and Huss, M and James, W and Lencioni, V and Robinson, C and Brown, Lee (2023) Glacier retreat reorganises river habitats leaving refugia for Alpine invertebrate biodiversity poorly protected. Nature Ecology and Evolution, 7 (6). pp. 841-851. DOI https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-023-02061-5
Abstract
Alpine river biodiversity around the world is under threat from glacier retreat driven by rapid warming, yet our ability to predict the future distributions of specialist cold-water species is currently limited. Here, we link future glacier projections, hydrological routing methods and species distribution models to quantify the changing influence of glaciers on population distributions of 15 alpine river invertebrate species across the entire European Alps, from 2020 to 2100. Glacial influence on rivers is projected to decrease steadily, with river networks expanding into higher elevations at a rate of 1% per decade. Species are projected to undergo upstream distribution shifts where glaciers persist but become functionally extinct where glaciers disappear completely. Several alpine catchments are predicted to offer climate refugia for cold-water specialists. However, present-day protected area networks provide relatively poor coverage of these future refugia, suggesting that alpine conservation strategies must change to accommodate the future effects of global warming.
Item Type: | Article |
---|---|
Uncontrolled Keywords: | Animals; Invertebrates; Ecosystem; Biodiversity; Rivers; Ice Cover; Refugium |
Divisions: | Faculty of Science and Health Faculty of Science and Health > Life Sciences, School of |
SWORD Depositor: | Unnamed user with email elements@essex.ac.uk |
Depositing User: | Unnamed user with email elements@essex.ac.uk |
Date Deposited: | 31 May 2023 10:23 |
Last Modified: | 07 Aug 2024 20:16 |
URI: | http://repository.essex.ac.uk/id/eprint/35259 |
Available files
Filename: Wilkes_etal_NEE_accepted.pdf