Metastability of the Logit Dynamics for Asymptotically Well-Behaved Potential Games

Convergence rate and stability of a solution concept are classically measured in terms of “even- tually” and “forever”, respectively. In the wake of recent computational criticisms to this approach, we study whether these time frames can be updated to have states computed “quickly” and stable for “long enough”. Logit dynamics allows irrationality in players’ behavior, and may take time exponential in the number of players n to converge to a stable state (i.e., a certain distribution over pure strategy pro- files). We prove that every potential game, for which the behavior of the logit dynamics is not chaotic as n increases, admits distributions stable for a super-polynomial number of steps in n no matter the players’ irrationality, and the starting profile of the dynamics. The convergence rate to these metastable distributions is polynomial in n when the players are not too rational. Our proofs build upon the new concept of partitioned Markov chains, that might be of indepen- dent interest, and a number of involved technical contributions.