Prokopczuk, Marcel and Stancu, Andrei and Symeonidis, Lazaros (2019) The economic drivers of commodity market volatility. Journal of International Money and Finance, 98. p. 102063. DOI https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2019.102063
Prokopczuk, Marcel and Stancu, Andrei and Symeonidis, Lazaros (2019) The economic drivers of commodity market volatility. Journal of International Money and Finance, 98. p. 102063. DOI https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2019.102063
Prokopczuk, Marcel and Stancu, Andrei and Symeonidis, Lazaros (2019) The economic drivers of commodity market volatility. Journal of International Money and Finance, 98. p. 102063. DOI https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2019.102063
Abstract
We analyze the relationship between economic uncertainty and commodity market volatility. We find that commodity market volatility comoves strongly with economic and financial uncertainty, especially during recessions. Variables associated with credit risk, financial market stress, and fluctuations in business conditions bear significant predictive ability for commodity market volatility. The documented predictability is mainly observed in the period after the financialization of commodity markets (i.e. post–2004) and it peaks during the 2008–2009 global financial crisis.
| Item Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | Commodities; Economic uncertainty; Volatility; Financialization; Crisis |
| Divisions: | Faculty of Social Sciences Faculty of Social Sciences > Essex Business School Faculty of Social Sciences > Essex Business School > Essex Finance Centre |
| SWORD Depositor: | Unnamed user with email elements@essex.ac.uk |
| Depositing User: | Unnamed user with email elements@essex.ac.uk |
| Date Deposited: | 28 Jan 2020 12:48 |
| Last Modified: | 18 Aug 2022 11:20 |
| URI: | http://repository.essex.ac.uk/id/eprint/26586 |
Available files
Filename: The Economic Drivers of Commodity Market Volatility.pdf
Licence: Creative Commons: Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 3.0