Long, Xinpeng and Kampouridis, Michael and Kanellopoulos, Panagiotis (2023) Multi-objective optimisation and genetic programming for trading by combining directional changes and technical indicators. In: IEEE 2023 Congress on Evolutionary Computation, 2023-07-01 - 2023-07-05, Chicago. (In Press)
Long, Xinpeng and Kampouridis, Michael and Kanellopoulos, Panagiotis (2023) Multi-objective optimisation and genetic programming for trading by combining directional changes and technical indicators. In: IEEE 2023 Congress on Evolutionary Computation, 2023-07-01 - 2023-07-05, Chicago. (In Press)
Long, Xinpeng and Kampouridis, Michael and Kanellopoulos, Panagiotis (2023) Multi-objective optimisation and genetic programming for trading by combining directional changes and technical indicators. In: IEEE 2023 Congress on Evolutionary Computation, 2023-07-01 - 2023-07-05, Chicago. (In Press)
Abstract
Directional changes (DC) have been shown to form an effective approach in algorithmic trading by converting fixed time series into event-based series and focusing on key events. Previous work has focused on forecasting the inflection point in the market and proposing new indicators under the DC framework, with just a handful of papers concerned with training and using DC indicators through machine learning. Earlier research has shown that genetic programming (GP) combining DC and physical time indicators could achieve positive returns with low risk. However, the fitness function used in that work is simply a risk-adjusted return. In this paper, we investigate whether a multi-objective optimisation approach could improve the performance of GP-based strategies in the market. We evaluate the cumulative return, risk, and rate of return of the proposed approach under 110 datasets from 10 different markets. Furthermore, we compare the proposed strategy against GP-based single objective optimisation (SOO) and buy-and-hold strategies. Our results show that the proposed approach significantly improves the cumulative return com- pared to SOO, from 14.29% to 62.04%, while also outperforming the buy-and-hold strategy.
Item Type: | Conference or Workshop Item (Paper) |
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Additional Information: | Published proceedings: _not provided_ |
Uncontrolled Keywords: | Directional changes; Genetic programming; Algorithmic trading; Multi-objective optimisation; technical analysis |
Divisions: | Faculty of Science and Health Faculty of Science and Health > Computer Science and Electronic Engineering, School of |
SWORD Depositor: | Unnamed user with email elements@essex.ac.uk |
Depositing User: | Unnamed user with email elements@essex.ac.uk |
Date Deposited: | 07 Jun 2023 10:03 |
Last Modified: | 02 Nov 2024 22:02 |
URI: | http://repository.essex.ac.uk/id/eprint/35462 |
Available files
Filename: IEEE_CEC_2023_xinpeng.pdf