He, Xiangyi and Li, Yiwei and Li, Houjian (2024) Revolutionizing Bitcoin price forecasts: A comparative study of advanced hybrid deep learning architectures. Finance Research Letters, 69. p. 106136. DOI https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2024.106136
He, Xiangyi and Li, Yiwei and Li, Houjian (2024) Revolutionizing Bitcoin price forecasts: A comparative study of advanced hybrid deep learning architectures. Finance Research Letters, 69. p. 106136. DOI https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2024.106136
He, Xiangyi and Li, Yiwei and Li, Houjian (2024) Revolutionizing Bitcoin price forecasts: A comparative study of advanced hybrid deep learning architectures. Finance Research Letters, 69. p. 106136. DOI https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2024.106136
Abstract
This paper employs a deep learning network with a comprehensive architecture to forecast Bitcoin prices, enhancing accuracy by integrating two meta-heuristic optimization algorithms, INFO and NRBO. Empirical results demonstrate that the hybrid model significantly outperforms the LSTM in both fit and predictive accuracy across in-sample and out-of-sample data. Notably, the NRBO-CNN-BiLSTM-Attention model substantially improves accuracy in 5-day and 15-day forecasts, reducing the MAPE by over 50 % compared to the LSTM model, thereby significantly enhancing overall predictive performance. The robustness of our results is supported by the MCS tests. Furthermore, strategically modifying time steps in data analysis optimizes model performance.
Item Type: | Article |
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Uncontrolled Keywords: | Bitcoin price; Price forecast; Meta-heuristic optimization algorithms; Hybrid models |
Divisions: | Faculty of Social Sciences Faculty of Social Sciences > Essex Business School |
SWORD Depositor: | Unnamed user with email elements@essex.ac.uk |
Depositing User: | Unnamed user with email elements@essex.ac.uk |
Date Deposited: | 11 Dec 2024 14:12 |
Last Modified: | 11 Dec 2024 14:37 |
URI: | http://repository.essex.ac.uk/id/eprint/39586 |
Available files
Filename: finance research letter revised.pdf
Licence: Creative Commons: Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 4.0
Embargo Date: 17 September 2025