Bartle, John (2003) Partisanship, Performance and Personality. Party Politics, 9 (3). pp. 317-345. DOI https://doi.org/10.1177/1354068803009003003
Bartle, John (2003) Partisanship, Performance and Personality. Party Politics, 9 (3). pp. 317-345. DOI https://doi.org/10.1177/1354068803009003003
Bartle, John (2003) Partisanship, Performance and Personality. Party Politics, 9 (3). pp. 317-345. DOI https://doi.org/10.1177/1354068803009003003
Abstract
<jats:p> The study of voting behaviour is characterized by controversy about the `importance' of various explanatory themes and specific variables, but there is a widespread reluctance to assess these hypotheses in a comprehensive causal model. This article specifies a model of Labour and Conservative voting in the 2001 British General Election which incorporates a whole series of competing and complementary hypotheses. The results suggest that partisanship, prospective evaluations of competence and favourable evaluations of Tony Blair all contributed to Labour's victory, while retrospective evaluations of Labour's record on crime and asylum-seekers reduced the size of Labour's victory. Analyses that incorporate a new measure of party identification suggest that long-term partisanship may have contributed less and short-term factors correspondingly more to the aggregate election outcome. </jats:p>
Item Type: | Article |
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Uncontrolled Keywords: | causal modelling; evaluations of party leaders; party identification; prospective voting; retrospective voting |
Subjects: | J Political Science > JN Political institutions (Europe) > JN101 Great Britain |
Divisions: | Faculty of Social Sciences Faculty of Social Sciences > Government, Department of |
SWORD Depositor: | Unnamed user with email elements@essex.ac.uk |
Depositing User: | Unnamed user with email elements@essex.ac.uk |
Date Deposited: | 30 Jul 2014 10:45 |
Last Modified: | 30 Oct 2024 19:35 |
URI: | http://repository.essex.ac.uk/id/eprint/9873 |