Items where Author is "Harvey, David I"

Harvey, David I and Leybourne, Stephen J and Taylor, AM Robert (2023) Improved Tests for Stock Return Predictability. Working Paper. Essex Finance Centre Working Papers, Colchester. (Unpublished)

Astill, Sam and Harvey, David I and Leybourne, Stephen J and Taylor, AM Robert and Zu, Yang (2023) CUSUM-Based Monitoring for Explosive Episodes in Financial Data in the Presence of Time-Varying Volatility. Journal of Financial Econometrics, 21 (1). pp. 187-227. DOI https://doi.org/10.1093/jjfinec/nbab009

Astill, Sam and Harvey, David I and Leybourne, Stephen J and Taylor, AM Robert (2022) Bonferroni Type Tests for Return Predictability and the Initial Condition. Working Paper. Essex Finance Centre Working Papers, Colchester. (Unpublished)

Harvey, David I and Leybourne, Stephen J and Taylor, AM Robert (2021) Simple tests for stock return predictability with good size and power properties. Journal of Econometrics, 224 (1). pp. 198-214. DOI https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2021.01.004

Harvey, David I and Leybourne, Stephen J and Taylor, AM Robert (2021) Simple Tests for Stock Return Predictability with Good Size and Power Properties. Working Paper. Essex Finance Centre Working Papers. (Unpublished)

Harvey, David I and Leybourne, Stephen J and Sollis, Robert and Taylor, AM Robert (2021) Real-Time Detection of Regimes of Predictability in the U.S. Equity Premium. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 36 (1). pp. 45-70. DOI https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.2794

Harvey, David I and Leybourne, Stephen J and Sollis, Robert and Taylor, AM Robert (2020) Real-Time Detection of Regimes of Predictability in the U.S. Equity Premium. Working Paper. Essex Finance Centre Working Papers, Colchester, UK.. (Unpublished)

Harvey, David I and Leybourne, Stephen J and Sollis, Robert and Taylor, AM Robert (2018) Detecting Regimes of Predictability in the U.S. Equity Premium. Working Paper. Essex Finance Centre Working Papers, Colchester.

Georgiev, Iliyan and Harvey, David I and Leybourne, Stephen J and Taylor, AM Robert (2018) Testing for parameter instability in predictive regression models. Journal of Econometrics, 204 (1). pp. 101-118. DOI https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2018.01.005

Astill, Sam and Harvey, David I and Leybourne, Stephen J and Taylor, AM Robert (2017) Tests for an end-of-sample bubble in financial time series. Econometric Reviews, 36 (6-9). pp. 651-666. DOI https://doi.org/10.1080/07474938.2017.1307490

Harvey, David I and Kellard, Neil M and Madsen, Jakob B and Wohar, Mark E (2017) Long-Run Commodity Prices, Economic Growth, and Interest Rates: 17th Century to the Present Day. World Development, 89 (C). pp. 57-70. DOI https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2016.07.012

Harvey, David I and Leybourne, Stephen J and Sollis, Robert and Taylor, AM Robert (2016) Tests for explosive financial bubbles in the presence of non-stationary volatility. Journal of Empirical Finance, 38 (Pt.B). pp. 548-574. DOI https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jempfin.2015.09.002

Cavaliere, Giuseppe and Harvey, David I and Leybourne, Stephen J and Robert Taylor, AM (2015) Testing for Unit Roots Under Multiple Possible Trend Breaks and Non-Stationary Volatility Using Bootstrap Minimum Dickey-Fuller Statistics. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 36 (5). pp. 603-629. DOI https://doi.org/10.1111/jtsa.12067

Astill, Sam and Harvey, David I and Leybourne, Stephen J and Taylor, AM Robert (2014) Robust tests for a linear trend with an application to equity indices. Journal of Empirical Finance, 29 (C). pp. 168-185. DOI https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jempfin.2014.02.004

Harvey, David I and Leybourne, Stephen J and Taylor, AM Robert (2014) On infimum Dickey–Fuller unit root tests allowing for a trend break under the null. Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 78. pp. 235-242. DOI https://doi.org/10.1016/j.csda.2012.10.017

Harvey, David I and Leybourne, Stephen J and Robert Taylor, AM (2014) Unit Root Testing under a Local Break in Trend using Partial Information on the Break Date*. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 76 (1). pp. 93-111. DOI https://doi.org/10.1111/obes.12013

Harvey, David I and Leybourne, Stephen J and Taylor, AM Robert (2013) Testing for unit roots in the possible presence of multiple trend breaks using minimum Dickey–Fuller statistics. Journal of Econometrics, 177 (2). pp. 265-284. DOI https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2013.04.012

Harvey, David I and Leybourne, Stephen J and Taylor, AM Robert (2012) Unit root testing under a local break in trend. Journal of Econometrics, 167 (1). pp. 140-167. DOI https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2011.10.006

Harvey, David I and Leybourne, Stephen J and Taylor, AM Robert (2010) Robust methods for detecting multiple level breaks in autocorrelated time series. Journal of Econometrics, 157 (2). pp. 342-358. DOI https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2010.02.003

Harvey, David I and Kellard, Neil M and Madsen, Jakob B and Wohar, Mark E (2010) The Prebisch-Singer Hypothesis: Four Centuries of Evidence. Review of Economics and Statistics, 92 (2). pp. 367-377. DOI https://doi.org/10.1162/rest.2010.12184